An Inflection Point Beckons

By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Gold and silver continue to consolidate in a narrow range this week, but gold finally broke out on the upside tonight, closing up $35 at $1928, and silver up 5.4% at $25.11.

In the non-active October gold Comex contract, longs totalling 25,165 contracts have been delivered with a further 7,423 to go. Assuming the rest are delivered, it amounts to over 101 tonnes. For the bullion banks, having Comex speculators standing for delivery especially in the non-active months is unwelcome. They will be eyeing December, the next active contract which expires in only seven weeks’ time, with trepidation. For the fact is that while the bullion banks can print paper gold as much as they wish, the physical that underpins all this paper is increasingly scarce.

Gold At $2000+. So Why The Fuss?

By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Goldmoney

There appears to be no way out for the bullion banks deteriorating $53bn short gold futures positions ($38bn net) on Comex. An earlier attempt between January and March to regain control over paper gold markets has backfired on the bullion banks.

Unallocated gold account holders with LBMA member banks will shortly discover that that market is trading on vapour. According to the Bank for International Settlements, at the end of last year LBMA gold positions, the vast majority being unallocated, totalled $512bn — the London Mythical Bullion Market is a more appropriate description for the surprise to come.

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COMEX Search And Seizure

By Craig Hemke – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

These are dark times for The Bullion Banks. Their Fractional Reserve and Digital Derivative Pricing Scheme is in great peril as refineries, miners, and mints all shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic. Will these Banks be able to scrounge up enough physical metal to keep their scheme afloat through June? That remains an open question.

You may recall that we’ve been warning of the outrageous volume of COMEX EFPs (Exchange For Physical) for years. For the calendar years 2018 and 2019, the COMEX swapped out over 14,000 metric tonnes of contracts for alleged “physical metal” in London. And this process grew even more extreme in 2020, as the first three weeks of the month saw 290,000 COMEX gold contracts “exchanged” this way. Here’s the link from the last post dedicated to this subject, written on March 10: https://www.sprottmoney.com/Blog/comex-gold-efp-us…

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Safe Haven Demand As Rising Risks

Gold surged over $1,436/oz this morning, it’s highest level in almost six years as an escalation of US sanctions on Iran added to heightened geopolitical uncertainty and uncertainty in global markets.

Market participants are also concerned about the G-20 summit this weekend where it is hoped that President Donald Trump and China’s Premier Xi Jinping will meet to discuss the deepening trade war.
Gold has closed above $1400 for first time since 2013 as investors diversify into safe haven gold to hedge the growing global risks including the risk of much looser monetary policies again and of zero percent and negative interest rates.

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JPMorgan’s Domination of COMEX Silver

By Craig Hemke – Re-Blogged From Sprott Money

Much has been written lately about the size and scope of JPMorgan’s COMEX silver vault. We thought we’d add to that conversation today.

First of all, some background.

JPMorgan didn’t even have a COMEX silver vault in early 2011. The application was only rushed through in March of that year, and they began accumulating silver that summer. (https://seekingalpha.com/article/259549-will-jpmorgan-now-make-and-take-…)

JPMorgan's Domination of COMEX Silver - Craig Hemke (21/03/2018)

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Silver Prospects

By Ted Butler – Re-Blogged From http://www.Silver-Phoenix500.com

Here’s a recent interview I did with Jim Cook, President of Investment Rarities, Inc., for whom I’ve consulted for more than 17 years (where did the time go?). It’s gotten to the point where about the only interviews I do are with Cook, but that’s not due to our long relationship. Rather, it’s because he comes prepared and wastes no words, making my role easy. With Cook, it’s always about getting to the heart of the matter, with the least amount of fluff as required.

Cook: Are you disappointed with the recent price action in silver?

Butler: Of course, I thought we might finally be breaking out.

Cook: What happened?

Butler: It’s the same old story.  As I outlined previously, we were setup for a strong rally at the recent lows, but whether the rally was of the now-typical $2 to $3 variety or the big one was based upon whether JPMorgan added aggressively to COMEX silver short positions. JPMorgan, once again, stopped the silver rally cold by adding massive amounts of short contracts, just as they have on every silver rally over the past ten years.

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…They Lit The First Candle

By Bill Holter – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

Many of us have waited for today, April 19, as we anticipated the new Chinese daily gold fix and the opening of the ABX physical exchange.  Some may be disappointed, others, ecstatic.  I will say I am personally pleased because it was almost exactly as I suspected.

Much has happened over the last couple of weeks — and a lot of it has to do with “truth” being exposed.  The “markets” are no different.  China, in my opinion, is simply trying to aid in markets determining prices of gold and silver.

Last Friday we got horrifying (from a contrarian standpoint) COT numbers with nearly record numbers for commercial shorts.  With history as any guide, gold and silver should have already been slaughtered, they have not been.  In fact, we now have silver and gold at nearly one-year highs and mining equities exploding.  Yesterday saw a dozen or more juniors up 25%++ for the day!

As I have maintained, I believe today’s action will become more frequent with the Shanghai physical demand pushing prices higher.  I believe they lit the first candle of truth today, other candles will follow until the light switch gets flipped on.  COMEX/LBMA will either go along in price or they will be arbitraged completely out of inventory.  As I wrote several weeks back, “what good is a contract that cannot perform”?  It is very possible China will let this “stew” for a while and allow the markets time to adjust to real and free pricing …only then do I see China coming out with a gold backed yuan.  If they were to do that today, it would be a declaration of war on the U.S. hegemon, if they wait, they can have cover and say “hey, it was global free markets that pushed gold out of sight”.

As mentioned above, commercials are very short gold and silver now…and they have lost $billions just today.  Maybe they continue to throw paper at gold and silver, but Shanghai ain’t buyin’ it!  No matter what the apologists say, COMEX can and will default when they can no longer deliver metal.  They say “cash settlement” is not a default …who are they kidding?  This is the rally you never sell …until you are offered a different “paper” (one that is backed by something, anything) that can be trusted.  China may be making this offer in the near future!

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The Breaking Point?

By Bill Holter – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

We have a very important inflection point coming next week with the Fed meeting.  I believe the inflection point has already been reached a few weeks back but next week may be the final straw.  Will the Fed raise rates to “save face” and try to stem the loss of credibility?  Or will they remain “patient” (cornered) and realize they cannot raise rates without razing the entire building?

Before getting to the rate hike thoughts, a bit of backdrop is needed.  World equity (and credit/currency) markets are in disarray.  20-40%+ drops in equity bourses around the world are now common.  In plain English, the world is already in a bear market of significant historical proportions.  Credit markets particularly in Europe are showing signs that illiquidity is taking over.  The German bund trading to .8% up from nearly 0% is just one illustration.

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$1.99 Per pound Filet Mignon…And War!

By Bill Holter – Re-Bloged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

This past Sunday night and Monday’s action in gold needs to be discussed of what I believe is now a rapidly moving big picture.  $2.7 billion worth of gold futures were sold in just 2 minutes Sunday night.  As I have asked before, “who” could possibly “own” this much gold other than an official source?  The answer of course is nearly no one other than a very small handful of ETF’s.  In perspective, $2.7 billion worth of gold is roughly 3% of global production.  Said differently, it amounts to nearly 10 days’ worth of labor and production worldwide… sold in less than two minutes!

Next, assuming there really is an entity that owns this much gold, “who” in their right mind would sell it in this fashion?  Who would sell so much and so rapidly concentrated in time as to knock the price down $50?  What trader would still have a job the following day if their own sale created a drop of four percent in the proceeds received?

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Triggers By Russia And China

By Bill Holter – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

The big story regarding the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank was the application by the Israelis.  This came just prior to the deadline and of course at the displeasure once again to Washington.  Britain was the early defector followed by Germany, France and Italy.  Eyebrows were raised when Saudi Arabia made their announcement…but I believe what was truly missed was the application by Taiwan.

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Fool’s Gold Paradise

By Max Photon – Re-Blogged From http://www.MaxPhoton.com

An article recently appeared in the Guardian newspaper titled: Are we ready for the next volcanic catastrophe?

It reads: “The largest eruption ever recorded, in Indonesia 200 years ago, wreaked havoc across the world, causing hunger, disease and death for years afterwards. When a volcanic event on that scale happens again – and it will – we should be prepared for serious disruption to our climate and food production.

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The End of the Dollar Standard

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

The Eurozone can be thought of as a 2-tier confederation. The northern countries have stronger economies, have trade surpluses, and have lower debt to GDP. The southern countries – often referred to as the PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain) – have been in and out of economic crisis after crisis for many years.

A few years ago, I was in preliminary contact with the government of Portugal. I prepared a 24 page report for them outlining how they could reverse the tailspin that the country was in.

One feature of my plan was for them to build up their holdings of Gold

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