Torrid Advances In Gold ETFs Warrant Caution

By Michael Ballanger – Re-Blogged from Gold Eagle 

Given the torrid advance in gold (GLD [SPDR Gold Shares]) and the leveraged miner ETFs (NUGT [Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 3x]/JNUG [Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 3x]), it is of note that RSI readings have screamed northward to the point where I don’t think I can recall a shift in momentum quite this quickly or with such torque. Now, it doesn’t automatically follow that these ETFs are going to crash. In fact, long after RSI readings topped out in February 2016, NUGT and JNUG continued to make new highs for the move. However, today’s set-ups appear to be similar to 2016 so caution is warranted in both exiting too soon and staying too late, so how I deal with that is to take down a portion of the risk and that is precisely what we did yesterday.

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Gold ETFs See Strong Demand

By Mark O’Byrne – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Gold ETFs saw inflows in volatile October as investors again hedged risk
– Gold ETFs see demand of 16.5 tonnes(t) in October to total of 2,346t, the equivalent of US$1B in inflows
– Global gold demand was robust in Q3 – demand of 964.3 tonnes – plus 6.2t yoy
– Strong central bank and store of value coin and bar demand offset the gold ETF outflows in Q3
– Central bank gold reserves grew 148.4t in Q3, up 22% yoy
– Gold coin and bar investors took advantage of the price dip and demand for gold coins and bars rose 28% yoy

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Record Gold/Silver Shorts!

[The latest week, reported after this essay was written, makes this case even more bullish. -Bob]

By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Gold and silver were thrashed this past summer, relentlessly pounded to deep new lows.  That has fueled extreme bearishness, with traders convinced the precious metals’ fundamentals are rotten.  But epic all-time-record futures short selling by speculators was the real culprit.  These unprecedented shorts must soon be covered with proportional buying, which is super-bullish for gold and silver prices in the coming months.

Traders generally assume fundamentals drive short-term price action, that real imbalances in supply and demand push prices to market-clearing levels.  Unfortunately these core underlying dynamics are heavily distorted in gold and silver.  Futures speculators who never own these precious metals are able to wield wildly-disproportional outsized influence over their prices.  The main reason is extreme leverage inherent in futures.

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Market “Earthquake Is Coming” – Icahn Warns “A Lot Of People Will Pay The Price Like In 1929”

By Tyler Durden – Re-Blogged From Zero Hedge

Billionaire investor Carl Icahn spoke to CNBC via telephone and had some very ominous warnings after what he has seen in the last few days.

Reflecting on the market’s moves recently, Icahn shocked the anchors by saying:

“This is something we’ve never seen before… I don’t remember ever seeing a market with this kind of volatility over two weeks.

The market has become a much more dangerous place [due to index funds and ETFs]… it’s like 2008 where everyone was buying mortgages and CDS.”

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Gold Stocks’ Winter Rally

By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

The gold miners’ stocks have largely ground sideways this year, consolidating their massive 2016 gains. That lackluster trading action, along with vexing underperformance relative to gold, has left gold stocks deeply out of favor. But these uninspiring technicals and resulting bearish sentiment should soon shift. The gold stocks are just now entering their strongest seasonal rally of the year, the super-bullish winter rally.

Gold-stock performance is highly seasonal, which certainly sounds odd. The gold miners produce and sell their metal at relatively-constant rates year-round, so the temporal journey through calendar months should be irrelevant. Based on these miners’ revenues, there’s little reason investors should favor them more at certain times of the year than others. Yet history proves that’s exactly what happens in this sector.

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Did Japan Just Prove That Central Banks Are Out Of Ammo?

By Graham Summers – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

The world has yet to fully digest what is currently happening in Japan.

Japan is the global leader for Keynesian Central Banking insanity. The ECB and US Federal Reserve began implementing ZIRP and QE after 2008. The Bank of Japan has been employing both ZIRP and QE since 2001.

Put simply, by the time the Great Crisis of 2008 rolled around, the Bank of Japan had nearly a decade’s experience seeing what QE, ZIRP, and the like could accomplish.

On top of this, the Bank of Japan has been the single most aggressive Central Bank post-2008. In 2013, it launched a single QE program equal to roughly 25% of Japan’s GDP (the Fed’s largest program was less than 10% of GDP).

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