Trump Hits China With the Tariffs We’ve All Been Waiting For

Re-Blogged From Stratfor

Highlights

  • The United States has launched its first major trade and investment measures against China, but they won’t be the last as the White House looks to make good on its protectionist promises.
  • China will be compelled to respond in kind and may prompt the United States to retaliate in the process.
  • As the United States moves forward with its aggressive trade agenda, the need to minimize the domestic fallout of its policies will restrain the White House.

The president promised that the first measures he rolled out on Beijing will not be the last.

(MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images)

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To Russia With Caution

Scott Stewart By Scott Stewart – Re-Blogged From Stratfor

Highlights

  • Tensions between the West and Russia are ratcheting up in the wake of the nerve agent attack on Sergei Skripal.
  • The heightened hostilities will make day-to-day operations more challenging for foreign companies, nongovernmental organizations and journalists working in Russia.
  • In addition to the threat of government surveillance and harassment, foreigners will likely be the targets of increased violence from nationalists and nationalist gangs.

At a newsstand in Moscow, a paper announces Russian President Vladimir Putin's re-election.

(KIRILL KUDRYAVTSEV/AFP/Getty Images)

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Europe’s Energy Reliance on Russian Natural Gas

By Larry Hamlin – Re-Blogged From http://www.WattsUpWithThat.com

The actions being proposed by British Prime Minister Theresa May against Russia for its recent chemical weapons attack on British soil have escalated the political reality of the consequences Europe will face because of its still growing dependence on Russian natural gas for its present and future growing energy needs.

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Complacency Reigns Supreme

By Burt Coons (PLUNGER) – Re-Blogged From Rambus Chartology

I had intended to post part III of my interest rate series, however market conditions dictate that I post views on the current market.  This market is now communicating that it is at high risk.  For two months now,  I have been advocating a strategic retreat.  Head for the sidelines and watch the action with an unemotional detachment.  The market is now sounding the alarm and one should be on high alert for a downside acceleration.

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Turkish MP: “Europe Will Be Muslim”

By Robert Spencer – Re-Blogged From Freedom Outpost

“Europe will be Muslim.”

That fact is fairly obvious to everyone at this point, and that is likely why the May government in Britain is moving so swiftly to persecute and destroy all resistance to Sharia and Islamization.

The British authorities see the writing on the wall, and well they should, because they wrote it.

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Turkey’s President Takes a Victory Lap

Sinan Ciddi   By Sinan Ciddi – Re-Blogged From Stratfor

Highlights

  • Following a referendum vote on sweeping constitutional changes in April 2017, Turkey’s government will transition from a parliamentary democracy to an executive presidency after the next presidential election in 2019.
  • The odds of a free and fair election are slim given the measures incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has taken — and the further measures he will take — to ensure he comes out on top.
  • Though former President Abdullah Gul would be Erdogan’s most credible challenger, he is unlikely to run in the next presidential race.

Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has since become his country's first popularly elected president, commemorates 50 years of Turkish immigration to Germany at a celebration in Berlin in 2011.

(SEAN GALLUP/Getty Images)

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Russia Won’t Sit Still for Additional U.S. Sanctions

Re-Blogged From Stratfor

Highlights

  • Washington will increase pressure on Moscow in 2018 through a series of expanded sanctions aimed at Russia’s financial stability, elites, reputation and defense industry.
  • Russia will weather the increased pressure by further insulating its economy, oligarchs and companies, placing additional responsibility for the country’s stability on the Kremlin.
  • The Russian government can maintain its position next year, though its resources are growing slim and the Kremlin faces a pivotal series of elections. 

Russia has begun insulating its economy from additional U.S. sanctions.

(MARK KOLBE/Getty Images)

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