The stock market has now priced in a perfect resolution for all of its erstwhile perils. Wall Street Shills would have you believe that since the Fed has turned dovish it will always be able to push stocks higher. The trade war is about to reach a peaceful conclusion and that will be enough to fix all that ails the global economy. A no-deal Brexit is off the table and a smooth transition out of the EU will occur. Peace will soon break out in Hong Kong and its troubled economy will have no contagious global economic effects. And, there will be a sharp rebound in EPS growth from the current earnings recession because…well…just because we need one.
However, beneath the surface of this economic charade the carcass is rotting and the stink can be smelled by anyone who isn’t willingly holding their nose. To this point, the leveraged loan market, which consists of loans made to highly indebted and barely solvent entities, has seen an increase of 100% since 2007, according to the Bank for International Settlements.