Leftist Elected President of Mexico in Massive Landslide

By PJ McDonnell & Kate Linthicum – Re-Blogged From Liberty Headlines

Leftist Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador won Sunday’s presidential election by a landslide, ushering in a new era in Mexican politics that could have profound implications for the country’s domestic and international policies — including its relationship with the United States.

Lopez Obrador’s projected margin of victory was 31 percentage points — the largest in Mexico’s recent electoral history. His opponents conceded before any actual results were released, based on exit polls showing the firebrand populist’s commanding lead.

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The Bill of Rights is Missing an Amendment

By The Common Constitutionalist – Re-Blogged From iPatriot

One of greater problems that plague our federal government is that of cross-delegation. What do I mean by this?

I describe this phenomenon as such, owing to the fact that three branches of government are no longer “separate but equal.” As we see by the take-over of government by the federal judiciary, they are clearly the most powerful of the three. The other two branches, the legislative and executive, take to bended knee before them, and as blind mutes, comply with any and every decree. This was clearly not intended by the founders.

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Vetting Presidential Candidates

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

In 2008, the US elected Barack Obama as President (and Joe Biden as VP). The Democratic team was reelected in 2012. Many Americans support the actions of Mr Obama, and many don’t.

During the 2008 primary season, the Democratic campaign of Hillary Clinton raised the issue of Mr Obama’s eligibility to hold the office of President, questioning his Natural Born American Citizen status. The issue continued to be discussed publicly, and in 2011, the White House published an image they described as the Long Form Birth Certificate of Mr Obama.

Image result for hillary clinton Image result for barack obama

In an effort to validate this document, the Maricopa County (AZ) Sheriff’s Office initiated an investigation. Please see the hourlong video below detailing the results of the investigation, supporting the finding that the document image posted was a forgery.

Regardless of whether their results are true or not, I think that a Federal Law (my preference) or Constitutional Amendment needs to be put in place to require automatic vetting of candidates for POTUS (and for VP) to determine their eligibility. The law should include:

Image result for us congress

  • Submission of original documents, with official online posting of images
  • What the Vetting Procedure will include
  • A Definition of Natural Born American Citizen
  • Mandatory cooperation of state & local government officials with the vetting process, and
  • Penalties for Falsification of Vetting Documents

I would expect that an original Long Form Birth Certificate should be required – either directly from the candidate or from the local government agency involved. If a foreign born person can qualify as a Natural Born American Citizen, then the process and time limitations need to be defined.

The Vetting Procedure needs to be thorough and complete, an should include an Official Posting of the original document’s image online, so that outside vetting can be facilitated if individuals or state governments desire. Penalties should include possible loss of government position and prison – forging vetting documents for POTUS or VP might be deemed Treason.

Retroactive application likely would not be possible, so no automatic invalidation of good or bad done by Mr Obama would be possible. However, the highest government offices of the US should be protected from possible future abuse.

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Wikileaks Shut Down by Hillary & Obama!

By James Shale – Re-Blogged From http://ipatriot.com

In an attempt to silence the daily stream of email leaks from the Hillary Clinton campaign, a “state party” has severed Wikileaks founder Julian Assange’s internet connection and ability to continue revealing the inner workings of the Democratic nominee’s run for the Presidency. As reported both on Twitter by Wikileaks itself and in numerous news outlets, Wikileaks has responded by activating “contingency plans” although at present those plans don’t seem to include continuing the daily email leaks of the last two weeks.

Ironically, by targeting Assange, Obama and Hillary have unintentionally confirmed the authenticity of the Wikileaks revelations leaving no doubt that the content found in the nearly 12,000 emails leaked to-date is entirely accurate and threatening to the Hillary campaign. Why shut down the would-be freedom fighter if the emails were the works of “Russians” as repeated so often by the Clinton camp?

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Using Evidence for Decisions

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

Sometimes numbers can give different messages depending on how you look at them. With a Presidential election a month and a half away, this can be a problem.

For example, stats were released on Tuesday for Housing Starts and also for Housing Permits. The Starts number for August was down about 6% from the July figure, while the Permits were down just slightly.

Image result for housing starts

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The FED and the Elections

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

The Stock Markets often predict the outcome of Presidential elections. If stocks are up – or even if they just are flat – the party which holds the White House tends to win the election. If stocks are down – especially if they’re down big time – the opposite party is favored to take the day.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been in the 18,000 area for the last two years, and as the US Economy has stagnated, the PE Ratio has gotten up to a near bubble level over 25. This has been achieved single handedly by the FED, which except for last December’s hike, hasn’t raised rates for 10 years, keeping them near zero for several of those years.

fed-funds-85-2016

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Statistical Shenanigans at BLS

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

Non-farm private payrolls for July came in with a surprise 43,000 larger increase than expected. Including new government jobs, the number reported was 75,000 larger than expected.

But, can we really believe the numbers?

This is a Presidential election year, and it turns out that the numbers influence the election results. Good numbers – and a rising stock market – presage a continuation of the party in power, while bad numbers – and a falling market – seem to forecast a turnover to the opposite party.

There seems to be enough motive to fudge the numbers. But, how do you fudge the non-farm payrolls number? People either are working or they’re not working.

One way is through the so-called Birth-Death Model. As the bean counters collect their data, they don’t actually count every single person and business in the country. Instead, they survey a sample – in statistics, a survey of a thousand can come surprisingly close to the results you would get if you counted the whole population.

From the results they get using just the sample, they project what the whole economy is. But the US Economy changes constantly. People leave jobs, and others get jobs. Businesses go out of business, while others start up.

To account for the changing landscape of US businesses, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) uses its Birth Death Model – they pick a number out of thin air, hoping the number is close – or at least believable. Here are the numbers for the last year or so:

Birth Death 080816

Since April 2015, only three times has the BLS said the Birth-Death Model called for a reduction of the official number, for a total of 280,000 jobs. Against that, there were 13 months of upward adjustments (guesses) for a total of 1,839,000 extra jobs, over and above what their actual survey results said there should be.

If we remove the Birth-Death adjustment for July, instead of beating the estimate by 75,000, it would have fallen short by 37,000. In my book, the numbers are bogus – politically motivated.

After all the hard work of collecting the actual data that the rank and file BLS (and other agency) employees do, their bosses make them look like criminals because of all the phonying up that the bosses do.

It likely will not happen ever, but I can dream that someday a new President will have the good sense to investigate and prosecute the perpetrators of fraud at the BLS.