The Number That Ends This Cycle…Part 2

By John Rubino – Re-Blogged From Dollar Collapse

Everyone seems to agree that if interest rates keep rising a recession and equities bear market will ensue. But no one knows where the breaking point is in terms of, say 10-year Treasury yields. So it’s become a topic of debate with a lot of heavy-hitters offering opinions. Yesterday Goldman Sachs weighed in:

Goldman: Don’t worry about rising interest rates until the 10-year yield hits 4%

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Stocks Perfectly Poised To Plummet Past Point Of No Return

By David Haggith – Re-Blogged From http://www.Silver-Phoenix500.com

We are now well into the year when I said stocks would plunge in January and would prove to be a gaping “crack” in the economy by summer, and look at how seriously the market has fallen apart since it started to drop in the last week of January:

It was just three months ago that stock-market investors were being swept up by a euphoria pinned to the idea of economic expansion taking hold harmoniously across the globe—a dynamic that hadn’t occurred since the 1980s, and one that was expected to extend into 2018.

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The Crisis Next Time

By Nicole Gelinas – Re-Blogged From City Journal

Ten years after a financial meltdown, America hasn’t grappled with the root problems.

Interest rates on the United States’ ten-year Treasury bond recently hit 3 percent, which should be regarded as historically low. Instead, a decade after the financial crisis began, it’s remarkable for being that high, and economic and financial experts can’t agree on whether this new rate portends a brewing economic miracle or a looming economic crisis. What it really reflects is a conundrum: the economy is doing well, but in large part because Americans have borrowed too much, too fast, and at too-low rates—and a real risk exists that normal interest rates will kill this debt-fueled boom. In the decade after the 2008 debt-based meltdown, the U.S. still hasn’t kicked its addiction to borrowing.

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Potential ‘Market Panic’

By Mark O’Byrne – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon sees ‘chance of market panic’
– In annual letter to shareholders Dimon warns of increased inflation and interest rates
– Concerned QE unwinding could cause chaos as ‘markets will get more volatile’
– Hard to look at the last 20 years in America “and not think that it has been getting increasingly worse.”
– Positive about US economy over next year, but ignores record levels of world and government debt
– Believes major buyers of US debt (e.g. China) could reduce their purchases of US government debt
– Investors can protect portfolios with gold and silver bullion
– U.S. debt and dollar crisis coming which will propel gold higher (see chart)

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Will Inflation Burst The Everything Bubble?

By Graham Summers – Re-Blogged From http://www.Silver-Phoenix500.com

The economic data is now beginning to reveal what the bond market has been screaming for weeks: namely that INFLATION. HAS. ARRIVED.

In the last 24 hours we’ve seen:

Core inflation rose 2.2% year over year for the month of February.

Media one-year inflation expectations rose to 2.83% from 2.71%

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Bigger Deficits = Higher Interest Rates =…Many Bad Things

By John Rubino – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

Mainstream economics uses a fairly simple equation when it comes to public policy: More government spending equals more growth, which is just about always a good thing.

The problem is with the “just about always” part. At the bottom of recessions, tax cuts and higher government spending can indeed stop the shrinkage and get things going again. And fiscal stimulus might be relatively harmless when an economy has minimal debt and can therefore handle a bit of deficit spending without negative side effects.

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US-China Trade War Escalates

By Mark O’Byrne – Re-Blogged From http://www.Silver-Phoenix500.com

Trade war between two superpowers continues to escalate

– White House likely to impose steep tariffs on aluminium and steel imports on ‘national security grounds’

– US may impose global tariff of at least 24% on imports of steel and 7.7% on aluminium

– China “will certainly take necessary measures to protect our legitimate rights.”

– China is USA’s largest trading partner, fastest-growing market for U.S. exports, 3rd largest market for U.S. exports in the world.

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