D.C. Dysfunction and Central Bank Chaos

By Michael Pento – Re-Blogged From Pento Portfolio Strategies

On September 5th, the members of both houses of Congress of the United States cleaned the beach sand from between their toes and returned to work. Our public servants who occupy The House of Representatives have been working on their respective tans since July 29th. The Senate has had a little less time in the sun; they held their final vote on August 3rd despite their pledge to stay until August 11th.

Hopefully, they got a lot of rest, because they have a lot to do upon their return. By the end of September Congress will need to pass a budget bill to avoid a government shutdown. Expect Tea Party Republicans to hold their ground on spending cuts while Trump petitions for his wall. According to recent tweets, Trump is pushing for this fight and welcomes a government shutdown. Get out the popcorn this could get interesting.

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Jackson Hole Saturday, When the Real Hyperinflationary Fireworks Occurred

By Andrew Hoffman – Re-Blogged From http://www.milesfranklin.com/

Pardon me if this article starts out a bit disjointed, as I accidentally erased the notes I took last night, amidst the 155th “Sunday Night Sentiment” attack of the past 161 weekends.  And afterwards, the 689th “2:15 AM” raid of the past 793 trading days, which I was able to document in real-time because someone called me at 3:00 AM, acting surprised that I wasn’t on “European time.”  I mean, do I have a French, German, or British accent?

Thankfully, the amount of notes was minimal, as amidst the “summer doldrums,” trading volumes are exceptionally low – with “volatility” at 20-year lows, care of the most maniacal, relentless market manipulation in global history.  Which, of course, is occurring because the global political, economic, and monetary situation has never been uglier.  Not to mention, the powers that be MUST maintain the status quo to enable a Hillary Clinton victory – as if Trump wins, their ability to staunch the bleeding, and control the future, will be dramatically weakened.  For what it’s worth, I strongly believe Trump will win – as like the “surprise” Brexit result, I believe Americans’ actual political leaning is far different than the propagandized “strong Clinton lead.”  Frankly, it strains credibility that anyone would believe this to be true, given the historically horrible economy, the e-mail server scandal, and all out criminality of the Clinton Foundation.

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“Clinton Prosperity” Of The 1990s Is A Myth

By David Stockman – Re-Blogged From Contra Corner

That Hillary Clinton has—–unaccountably——stood by her man for 40 years is her particular foible. But now she wants 320 million Americans to stand by him, too, by electing her President so she can make Bill the nation’s economic czar:

During a speech in Kentucky Sunday she referred to “my husband, who I will put in charge of revitalizing the economy ’cause he knows what he’s doing.”

Actually, he doesn’t.

Herein follows a two-part essay on why Bill and Hillary Clinton had precious little to do with the vaunted prosperity of the 1990s, and why another twofer would be exceedingly bad for the nation.

In truth, it was the doing of Alan Greenspan, and not in a good way.

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Fed Credibility Dwindles, Pension Funding Crisis Looms

By Clint Siegner From http://www.MoneyMetals.com

Fed officials jawbone the markets and spread disinformation. They figure it’s part of their job as central planners. It’s not enough to pull the levers and twist the knobs on interest rates, the money supply, and asset prices. They also use propaganda to manage investor psychology. It’s all smoke and mirrors.

Frustrated metals investors wonder just how long officials will maintain their hold over markets when so much of what they say turns out to be garbage and so much of what they do ends in failure.

The answer is perhaps not much longer. There are real cracks emerging in the credibility of Fed banksters. It has taken years, but investors and pundits are finally questioning whether the Fed knows what it’s doing. They have progressed from the blind worship of Alan Greenspan, who engineered first the Dot.com bubble and then the housing bubble that made people feel so wealthy, to wondering if they can believe a word Janet Yellen says.

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Peddling Fiction, Ignoring Fact

By Peter Schiff – Re-Blogged From Euro Pacific Capital

In his seventh, and final, State of the Union address this January, President Obama, clearly looking to bolster his legacy as the president who vanquished the Great Recession, boldly asserted that “Anyone claiming that America’s economy is in decline is peddling fiction.”  Unfortunately for the President, more and more Americans seem to believe (with an adequate basis in proof) that the fiction is emanating from the White House.
It’s hard to imagine how anyone can really assert with a straight face that the economy is currently “strong.” The most recent Gross Domestic Product (GDP), from 4th Quarter 2015, shows us barely inching along at a 1% annualized growth rate (Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2/26/16). Given that moderate growth used to be measured in the 3%-4% range, and that recent declines in the trade balance could further subtract from both 4th (2015) and 1st quarter GDP, we could be forgiven for raising an eyebrow or two in reaction to Obama’s boast. Continue reading

Sell The Bonds, Sell The Stocks, Sell The House —–Dread The Fed!

By David Stockman – Re-Blogged From http://www.DavidStockmansContraCorner.com

There is going to be carnage in the casino, and the proof lies in the transcript of Janet Yellen’s press conference. She did not say one word about the real world; it was all about the hypothetical world embedded in the Fed’s tinker toy model of the US economy.

Yes, tinker toys are what kids used to play with back in the 1950s and 1960s, and that’s when Janet acquired her school-girl model of the nation’s economy.

But since that model is so frightfully primitive, mechanical, incomplete, stylized and obsolete, it tells almost nothing of relevance about where the markets and economy now stand; or what forces are driving them; or where they are headed in the period just ahead.

In fact, Yellen’s tinker toy model is so deficient as to confirm that she and her posse are essentially flying blind. That alone should give investors pause—-especially because Yellen confessed explicitly that “monetary policy is an exercise in forecasting”.

Accordingly, her answers were riddled with ritualistic reminders about all the dashboards, incoming data and economic system telemetry that the Fed is vigilantly monitoring. But all that minding of everybody else’s business is not a virtue—-its proof that Yellen is the ultimate Keynesian catechumen.

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Clueless Fed?!

By Axel Merk – Re-Blogged From http://www.merkinvestments.com

“The Fed doesn’t have a clue!” – I allege that not only because the Fed appears to admit as much (more on that in a bit), but also because my own analysis leads to no other conclusion. With Fed communication in what we believe is disarray, we expect the market to continue to cascade lower – think what happened in 2000. What are investors to do, and when will we reach bottom?

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Newsflash From The December ‘Jobs’ Report—–The US Economy Is Dead In The Water

By David Stockman – Re-Blogged From David Stockman’s Contra Corner

Here’s a newsflash that CNBC didn’t mention. According to the BLS, the US economy generated a miniscule 11,000 jobs in the month of December.

Yet notwithstanding the fact that almost nobody works outdoors any more, the BLS fiction writers added 281,000 to their headline number to cover the “seasonal adjustment.” This is done on the apparent truism that December is generally colder than November and that workers get holiday vacations.

Of course, this December was much warmer, not colder, than average.  And that’s not the only deviation from normal seasonal trends.

The Christmas selling season this year, for example, was absolutely not comparable to the ghosts of Christmas past. Bricks and mortar retail is in turmoil and in secular decline due to Amazon and its e-commerce ilk, and this trend is accelerating by the year.

So too, energy and export based sectors have been thrown for a loop in the last few months by a surging dollar and collapsing commodity prices. Likewise, construction activity has been so weak in this cycle—-and for the good reason that both commercial and residential stock is vastly overbuilt owing to two decades of cheap credit—–that its not remotely comparable to historic patterns.

Never mind. The BLS always adds the same big dollop of jobs to the December establishment survey come hell or high water. In fact, the seasonal adjustment has averaged 320,000 for the last 12 years!

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If This Really Is A Recovery, Why Aren’t We Using More Electrical Power?

(Mark uses a “Bird’s Eye View” chart style, which shows the change from the previous high. All new high’s are at 100%, with pullbacks obviously less than 100%. It’s different, but informative. Bob)

By Mark J Lundeen – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

Janet Yellen may not have raised interest rates this week, but Mr Bear couldn’t care less.  We can see it in the market.  In bull markets double-digit declines from an all-time high are reasons to buy.  But EARLY in bear markets, recoveries from double digit declines are reasons to sell as we’ve seen since about mid-July.  In the table below recoveries from double-digit Dow Jones declines last just a day or so before the market comes under selling pressure, again driving the Dow Jones down 10% or more from its May 2015 last all-time high.

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