CAGW Alarmism is Wrong

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

What do Climate Science, Jumbo Shrimp, and Government Intelligence have in common? They all are oxymorons – the two words in each phrase don’t go together.

I specifically want to address Climate Science. Alarmists like to say that the science is settled, but that is NOT the way science works – science is never settled. They like to say that a consensus of scientists agrees that CAGW will change life as we know it unless we rid the world of fossil fuels. Once again, that’s not how science works – consensus

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Newsbytes: World food production at record levels

Food prices should be falling in the US, but various subsidies and taxes are preventing that, to the detriment of all Americans, especially the poor.

Watts Up With That?

Despite all the gloom and doom from people like Paul Ehrlich and the warmers who say global warming will stunt food production, the reality is far different. It seems the increase in CO2 along with adaptive crop genetics may have combined to produce this bonanza.

world-food-production

Based on the latest forecasts for production and utilization, world cereal stocks at the close of crop seasons ending in 2015 would surge to 627.5 million tonnes, up 8.3 percent from an already large volume at the start of the season and its highest level in 15 years. Maize would account for the biggest increase, followed by wheat, while rice stocks are forecast to decline, albeit from a record level. The overall positive outlook, if realized, will result in the cereal stocks-to-use ratio increasing to 25.2 percent in 2014/15 from 23.5 percent in 2013/14, and the highest since 2001/02.

That’s the message on Tuesday…

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Adjustments & UHI Account for Most of the Rise in Temperatures

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg  By Bob Shapiro

The temperature record using the 1221 “official” weather stations in the US Historical Climatology Network, are not useful in determining whether there is any danger of Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW), that is man-made global warming. We already have seen that over 90% of these stations cannot measure more closely than the nearest degree Celsius. (In 70% of these stations, the expected error is greater than 2 degrees C.)

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Preventing/Treating Ebola

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

The previous Re-Post on Ebola has prompted me to give some advice on what you can do to control this disease.

To help protect against an Ebola outbreak spreading, businesses, schools, clubs, and any other place where people gather, should require that, “If you have flu symptoms like Fever, Headache, Vomiting, Diarrhea, or skin eruptions – STAY HOME!”

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What would Thucydides do? How to create negative atmospheric pressure in the Ebola hot-zone

Watts Up With That?

While not our usual fare, I provide this guest essay for discussion without comment, as it is concerned with an issue of great interest and impact to millions of people – Anthony

NegativePressure_Qualitair

Guest essay by Alec Rawls

Negative atmospheric pressure sounds climate related, but it is just an analogy to the inward draw of air that contagious disease laboratories and isolation rooms use to keep pathogens from escaping. The only way to make it safer for Ebola hot-zone residents to stay put and keep the current epidemic from spreading is to use immune survivors to separate and treat the sick, a strategy developed by the Greeks 2400 years ago, but our national policies are working ever more powerfully in the opposite direction, creating strong incentives for infected and possibly infected people to flee to the United States from Liberia, Guinea and Sierra Leone.  Given this rapidly changing climate of contagion…

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Fixing Primary Elections

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

After the 2008 Presidential Primary, some people told me they had registered Democrat at the polls (and then back to unenrolled) so that they could vote against Hillary. Others said they had registered as Republican so they could vote against Huckabee.

So, what is a primary election anyway? Very simply, it’s the process that official political parties use to decide which of several of their

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Feeding the Poor Better

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

“If people don’t have enough food, you need to make more food.”

I’ve forgotten where I heard that saying many years ago (maybe it was in The Incredible Bread Machine movie). It is so simple, yet it is indisputable.

In our country, almost 50 million Americans are on Food Stamps. The assumption is that there isn’t enough food for them at prices that they

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Climate Models are Lousy

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg  By Bob Shapiro

The federal government spent $22 Billion in 2013 ($165 Billion cumulative total) on global warming research grants, subsidies, junkets, etc. Global warming alarmism is being used to justify an anti-energy policy which is hurting all Americans, especially the poor.

The Models are the centerpiece that all the Alarmists point to, to “prove” that their vision of the end of the world is coming, are hopelessly lousy.

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19 Surprising Facts

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

There are numerous doom and gloom blogs out there. While many times they’ll say things which are over-the-top, sometimes they also give factual reason for thought.

I came across one such site recently, The Economic Collapse Blog. One article caught my eye in particular – “19 Very Surprising Facts About The Messed Up State Of The U.S. Economy,” by Michael Snyder.

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Fire FBI Chief James Comey

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

The FBI wants to violate the Constitutional protections – the Right to Privacy and Freedom from Unreasonable Searches – of all Americans. It long has been established Law that the FBI needs a search warrant to tap your telephone. Now they’re trying to get around the Law regarding our cellphone privacy.

Apple and Google are companies in the private, productive sector of the US Economy. One service that they provide is encryption, through

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Thc CPI vs The Big Mac Index

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

In 1986, The Economist magazine created the “Big Mac” index. The theory is that this is a standardized product, available around the world, which likely would continue to be sold for many years.

In the US in September 1986, the Big Mac sold for $1.60; it was selling for $4.62 in January 2014, 27+ years later (328 months later).

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Legislative Constitutional Review

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

Our leaders take an oath of office in which they pledge to Protect and Defend the US Constitution. They acknowledge that the Constitution is the highest Law of the Land, and that all other laws are subservient to the Constitution.

The US Supreme Court ruled over 200 years ago, in 1803, that they were bound to declare any law that is in conflict with the US Constitution to be null and void. This is called Judicial Review.

The other two branches of our government, the Legislative (Congress) and the Executive (The President), also have this Constitutional responsibility. (To institute Alcohol Prohibition – previously declared Unconstitutional – a Constitutional Amendment was required, and

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What to Do About Debt?

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

According to Laurence Kotlikoff, economics professor at Boston University, the real, total National Debt including the “official” number, plus Agency debt, and plus unfunded liabilities like Social Security and Medicare is around $225 Trillion.

There are five ways to handle this situation:

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CAGW Alarmism

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

Eight years ago, I became aware of the issue of catastrophic, man-made, global warming (CAGW). Since what I read was saying that the world as we knew it was going to end, I thought I’d better do some research.

I tend to believe experts. So, what I was looking for as I investigated were suggestions for helping to lessen the problem and for how my family and I still could come out OK, regardless of what the future held.

It came as quite a shock to me that it was only the scare that was man-made. The Theory was built on misapplied science and a

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Using GDP as a Tool of Policy

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (of the Commerce Department) calls the creation of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) “One of the Greatest Inventions of the 20th Century.” I do not share their enthusiasm.

The concept of GDP was created due to the Great Depression, so that economists could see just how bad things were, allowing them to tinker with the US Economy even more than they already did.

Of course, the Depression was the result of the creation of the Federal Reserve (FED) and their easy money policy, which created the artificial

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Will the FED Raise Rates Next Year?

The FED has said it has ended its Quantitative Easing (QE) and will begin raising interest rates around summer of 2015. Some analysts disagree, saying that the FED is too set on micromanaging every wiggle on Wall Street to carry out their promise.

Read Michael Pento’s evaluation of the FED’s current dilemma,

A Funny Thing Happened On The Way To Raising Rates.

The Effects of Taxation and Inflation

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

Jan and John are imaginary friends of mine. They met in High School, fell in love, and decided to get married after graduation, in 1992.

They made a plan which called for sacrifices so that they could be financially independent.

  • They decided they wouldn’t go to college
  • They decided they wouldn’t have children until they were 40
  • They decided to continue their jobs at McDonalds and Burger King, working full time at one and part time at the other – 6000 hours a year between them
  • They would save half their earnings, and make their nest egg grow by 3.5% every year.
  • They expected that, as they gained experience, they would get raises averaging 3.5% every year.

They expected, using these assumptions, that at age 40 in 2014, they would have almost $1,000,000!

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Data Fit For the Purpose

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

When my daughter, Maria T, was in 5th grade, she took a gifted/talented class at her public grammar school. On Back-to-School night, I talked with her teacher for the course. Ken described the challenges he faced, including one student who found out that the value of PI couldn’t be calculated exactly.

She was terrified,” he said. “The girl was worried about the astronauts we were sending to the moon, whose flight plans depended on the

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Reliable Government Statistics

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg  By Bob Shapiro

Many years ago, a guy I knew told me of how he was becoming wealthy all due to government decree. Henry said that when he bought his house, it stood on about 0.95 acre. His town had redefined the acre, so that his property became about 0.99 acre. The town had redefined the measure once again, so that it all of a sudden was 1.04 acre. He was growing rich!

Henry allowed that the actual land hadn’t changed, and his property taxes had gone up as a result of the two changes. “Still,” he said tongue in cheek, “pretty soon I’ll be able to retire and live off my land.”

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Stop the Minimum Wage Hike

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

One Law that I see validated constantly is the Law of Unintended Consequences.

Sir Isaac Newton said that for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction, but it seems like our government leaders are not aware of this basic Law of physics.

Frederick Bastiat said almost 200 years ago in his book, The Law, that we should consider not only the seen effects, but also the unseen effects of any action.

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Cato Institute on Universal Pre-School

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

The Cato Institute recently released a Policy Analysis, entitled The Evidence on Universal Pre-School – Are Benefits Worth the Cost.

Their short answer appears to be no. They reviewed a number of studies of the benefits of various programs, including Head Start, and found the studies to be too small or out of date, and that the

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Cut the Costly Climate Chatter

Re-blogged from The Carbon Sense Coalition

Twenty-two years ago a bunch of green activists calling themselves “The Earth Summit” met in Rio and invented a way to tour the world at tax-payers’ expense – never-ending conferences on environmental alarms.

Like any good bureaucratic committee, they soon established sub-committees on sustainability, pollution, development, energy, forestry, water, biodiversity, endangered species, poverty, health, population and Agenda 21 (this item alone had 40 chapters each with its own sub-committee). Environmental conferences became the greatest multi-national growth industry in the world financed mainly by tax-payers via participating public servants, climate academics, employees of nationalised industries and tax-sheltered green “charities” such as Greenpeace and WWF. Continue Reading…

 

Balance the Budget – Now

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

Our government spends more than it takes in. The “Official” Budget Deficit was over $1.3 Trillion a few yeas ago, has come down to around $500 Billion today, and is expected to rise steeply again for the balance of the decade.

But the official number doesn’t tell the whole story. Not included is all the US Agency Debt, like

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The Markets vs The Economy

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg   By Bob Shapiro

Fiscal and Monetary policies, we are told, are supposed to stimulate and protect the US Economy. Nothing could be further from the truth.

Taxing & spending reduce the profits available to replace and grow our country’s productive capacity. Printing (or the “electronic equivalent”) makes this worse by making the tax bite more
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One Benefit From Shale Oil

Mark Perry AEIFrom  D. Mark J. Perry – American Enterprise Institute

Environmentalists these days tend to fight against any energy source except solar and wind. The US went from being a major exporter of oil many decades ago to having to import over 60% of our needs in 2005.

However, even with regulations attempting to strangle our energy supplies, the private, productive sector – you know, those awful oil companies – have developed new technologies creating a new oil
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Control Our Government to Raise Americans’ Standard of Living

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg  By Bob Shapiro

 

Welcome to US Issues Blog. This is the first of (hopefully many) posts. Let’s jump right in!

The US Economy and Americans’ standard of living have grown tremendously over the last 100 years. This growth wasn’t all in a straight line.

Before the Great Depression, worker productivity gained at roughly 3.5% a year. During the 1950s and 1960s, productivity growth had slowed to around 2.5%, and continued going down to about 2% until 2000. Continue reading

Welcome to US Issues!

cropped-bob-shapiro.jpg By Bob Shapiro

Today, we kick off our effort to engage in rational, polite discussions of national issues. Too often, elections are little more than beauty contests between the candidates, and all Americans suffer. We’ll be focusing on issues that have an impact on our well being, both as individuals and as a nation.

We invite you to read our posts, think about them, and them post your own comments. We welcome your suggestions on issues you’d like for us to write about, as well as your submission of a guest post. Please see our policy statement for guidelines.

If you like what you see, please “Like” us, re-post our content on your own Blog, or add us to your Blog Roll on your site.

Thank you for taking the time to come by for a visit!