Gold

Gold-ETF Selling Slows

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

One of gold’s primary drivers is American stock-market capital sloshing into and out of gold through major exchange-traded funds. Their sustained inflows and outflows partially fuel gold’s bull-market uplegs and corrections. Interestingly the differential gold-ETF-share selling that exacerbated gold’s recent correction is greatly slowing. Gold’s next upleg depends on those capital flows reversing to buying, accelerating its gains.

Gold’s largest and most-popular exchange-traded funds are increasingly coming to dominate gold price trends. Cheap and easy to trade, they act as direct conduits for the vast pools of stock-market capital to access gold. Stock traders use these gold-ETF shares to instantly gain or shed gold exposure in their portfolios. The collective capital flows through gold ETFs are responsible for ever-more of gold’s price action.

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Fed Misleading The Public About Inflation

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By Stefan Gleason – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Did the Federal Reserve just usher in the next phase of the U.S. dollar’s decline?

On Wednesday, the central bank recommitted to leaving its benchmark interest rate near zero for the foreseeable future.

Fed officials also vowed to keep pumping cash into financial markets.

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Hannibal Trap

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By Egon von Greyerz – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Is the global investment world about to be caught in the Hannibal trap?

Hannibal was considered as one of the greatest military tacticians and generals in history. He was a master of strategy and regularly led his enemies into excruciating defeats.

The trap that investors are now being led into has many similarities with Hannibal’s strategy in his victory over the Romans at Lake Trasimene in 217 BC.

Hannibal was a general and statesman from Carthage (now Tunisia) who successfully fought against the Romans in the Second Punic War.

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Gold Green-Lights Miners

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By Adam Hamilton  – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The gold miners’ stocks are finally perking up again, after spending months slogging through a grinding correction.  Contrarian traders are taking notice, starting to redeploy capital in this high-potential sector.  Gold miners’ earnings and thus stock prices are overwhelmingly driven by gold’s fortunes.  And the yellow metal’s recent technicals are signaling a mature correction, green-lighting gold stocks’ next major upleg.

Bull markets are an alternating series of uplegs followed by corrections, for every few steps forward there is always one step back.  These periodic selloffs are essential for bulls’ health and longevity, rebalancing sentiment and technicals before they get too overheated.  Popular greed growing too extreme early in bulls will prematurely slay them.  All available near-term buying is sucked in, exhausting capital inflows and upside.

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Gold In the Season Of Santa, Milk And Cookies

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By GE Christenson – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

STORY AT A GLANCE – week ending November 27:

  • Gold prices made a significant low during November or December in 8 of the last ten years. Gold prices are low and over-sold as of Nov. 27.
  • The gold to S&P 500 ratio shows gold is inexpensive compared to the S&P over four decades of history.
  • Gold and silver price lows are due now—which means between mid-November and late December. Now, or soon.
  • The GDX to gold price ratio bottomed in 2016. Expect gold to rally and gold stocks to rise faster in the coming years.
  • Stocks are making new highs. Craziness in politics and monetary policy are “off the charts.” Beware the consequences of both.

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Gold-Stock Correction Matures

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The gold miners’ stocks have suffered a correction since early August, gutting traders’ enthusiasm for this contrarian sector.  This necessary and healthy selloff is maturing, after largely accomplishing its essential mission of rebalancing sentiment and technicals.  The universal greed and extreme overboughtness plaguing gold stocks as their last upleg peaked has been reversed, paving the way for their next bull upleg.

Since corrections are challenging to weather psychologically, most traders hate them.  But they are an integral part of secular bulls, which are ultimately an alternating series of uplegs followed by corrections.  By preventing sentiment and technicals from terminally overheating, these corrections greatly extend bull markets’ longevity.  Without rebalancing selloffs, bulls would rocket parabolic soon exhausting potential buying.

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The Great Reset

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[Sick of Being Sick: I’ve been out of commission again, and I’d beter not speculate on how long this round of feeling well will last. Let’s just say that, I’ll post as I can. You know my usual resources, so if you need additional articles, feel free to go to the source(s). Thanks for understanding.  –Bob]

By Keith Weiner – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

There are now two entirely different notions of a coming “reset”. One has been popular among those who speculate on the gold price. They expect a revaluation of the dollar. However, the government does not set the value of the dollar. So there is no way to reset the value. Indeed, the government has been trying to push down the value of the dollar for over a decade, and mostly failing (because increasing quantity is not the same thing as decreasing value).

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Gold Mid-Tiers’ Q3’20 Fundamentals

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The mid-tier gold miners’ stocks are in this sector’s sweet spot for upside potential. After a spectacular run since March’s stock panic, they have been correcting since early August. That is doing its necessary work of rebalancing sentiment, paving the way for the next bull upleg. Higher prevailing gold prices have proven a huge fundamental windfall for mid-tiers, as their latest quarterly operating and financial results reveal.

Mid-tier gold miners produce between 300k to 1m ounces of gold annually, more than smaller juniors but less than larger majors. Mid-tiers are far less risky than juniors, and amplify gold’s uplegs much more than majors. Their unique mix of sizable diversified gold production, material output-growth potential, and smaller market capitalizations is ideal for outsized gains. They are the best gold stocks for traders to own.

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The Global Reset Scam

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By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

[This is a darker post than I usually send your way. It deals not only with inflation & hyperinflation but also currency collapse and what it might look like on the other side (actually quite optimistic). –Bob]

This article takes a tilt at increasing speculation about statist global resets, and why plans such as those promoted by the World Economic Forum will fail. Central bank digital currencies will simply run out of time.

Instead, the collapse of unbacked fiat currencies will end all supra-national government solutions to their policy failures. Already, there is mounting evidence of money beginning to flee bank accounts into stocks, commodities and even bitcoin. This is an early warning of a rapidly developing monetary collapse.

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One Table And Two Charts Show Why Stocks Are A Bad Place To Be

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By John Rubino – Re-Blogged From Dollar Collapse

US stocks are behaving amazingly well given the political and economic near-chaos of the past few months. This is probably the first recession that inflated rather than popped financial asset bubbles.

Why? Because panicked governments and central banks are dumping trillions of play-money dollars into the system, a big part of which flow directly into the brokerage accounts of the 1%.

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If You Can’t Beat ‘Em, Join ‘Em

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By Craig Hemke – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Suddenly it seems that nearly all of The Banks and Bullion Banks are raising price forecasts and rallying around the precious metals. Is this a good thing or a bad thing?

That’s the question, of course. Banks like Goldman Sachs have earned a reputation for leading their clients into taking the opposite side of whichever trade the firm prefers. If you’ve forgotten the origin of this story, here’s a link from 2012:

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$30+ Silver In 2021

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By Christopher Aaron – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

Silver prices rose nearly 163% from its Coronavirus-panic lows of $11.30 to its peak on August 6 of $29.82. However, following that incredible rise, silver has since fallen dramatically: from its August 6 peak down to its September 23 low of $21.64 is a drop of nearly 28% in just six weeks. As this article is going to press, the precious metal is trading in the middle region of that range at $24.50.

What is ahead for silver? Is this sell-off over, or is there more downside to come?

silver coins

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America’s Political And Financial Institutions Are Broken

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By Clint Siegner – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

America’s key institutions are broken. More people wake up daily to that reality. They are preparing for the moment this realization dawns on Americans at large, which explains why the markets for physical bullion are so active.

Markets certainly aren’t working. Perpetual central bank intervention, rampant Wall Street cheating, high frequency trading, index funds, and many other factors have divorced the price of securities from fundamental realities, such as high unemployment.

The adjacent screen capture from CNBC in April says it all about how badly markets are doing at reflecting true economic fundamentals.

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Gold, The Simple Math

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By John Hathaway – Re-Nlogged From Gold Eagle

The current pullback in the precious metals sector is a buying opportunity. Since trading at a closing high of $2,064 an ounce on August 6, gold bullion has declined 8.34% as of this writing.1 Gold mining shares have followed suit, declining 9.26% since the August high. It is possible that gold and related mining shares could continue to chop sideways to lower until the U.S. presidential election results are known and even into yearend as the implications are sorted out. Whatever the electoral outcome, the path towards monetary debasement is bipartisan. It is crucial for investors to focus on the long-term trend and to avoid the distractions of short-term timing considerations.

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Employment’s Recovery Road Comes To An End

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By David Haggith – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

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An Inflection Point Beckons

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By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Gold and silver continue to consolidate in a narrow range this week, but gold finally broke out on the upside tonight, closing up $35 at $1928, and silver up 5.4% at $25.11.

In the non-active October gold Comex contract, longs totalling 25,165 contracts have been delivered with a further 7,423 to go. Assuming the rest are delivered, it amounts to over 101 tonnes. For the bullion banks, having Comex speculators standing for delivery especially in the non-active months is unwelcome. They will be eyeing December, the next active contract which expires in only seven weeks’ time, with trepidation. For the fact is that while the bullion banks can print paper gold as much as they wish, the physical that underpins all this paper is increasingly scarce.

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Is Gold Market Going Back Into The 1970s?

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By Arkadiusz Sieroń – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

They say that time travels are impossible. But we just went back to the 1960s! At least in the field of the monetary policy. And all because of a new Fed’s framework. So, please fasten your seat belts and come with me into the past and present of monetary policy – to determine the future of gold!

At the end of August 2020, the Fed has modified its Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy – for the first time since its creation in 2012. As a reminder, the Fed will now target not merely a 2 percent rate of inflation, but an average inflation rate of 2 percent, which allows overshooting after the periods of undershooting. So, the Fed will try to compensate for periods of low inflation with periods of high inflation . Hence, on average , we will see a more accessible monetary policy and higher inflation – Good news for the gold bulls.

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Fed Chairman Begs Congress To Stimulate Beleaguered Economy

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By Mike Gleason – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Precious metals investors faced choppy market seas this week. Gold bobbed to a slight decline while silver essentially treaded water through Thursday’s close. Both are advancing strongly today.

Metals markets are being overshadowed by equities markets. The S&P 500 broke out to a 5-week high on Thursday. The rally comes on a rising tide of Federal Reserve liquidity coupled with on again, off again hopes for a stimulus deal in Washington.

More stimulus is definitely coming. The only question is how many trillions and whether they get dished out before or after the election.

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Gold-Miner Valuations Low

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

After soaring in a powerful upleg, the gold miners’ stocks have been grinding lower for a couple months now.  This ongoing correction is increasingly draining enthusiasm for this small contrarian sector, working to rebalance sentiment.  Gold-stock price levels relative to gold suggest this necessary and healthy selloff hasn’t fully run its course yet.  But once this passes, current valuations remain very bullish for the gold miners.

Unlike the vast majority of other industries, gold miners’ earnings are almost totally dependent on a single variable.  That’s the price of gold.  The profitability of excavating and selling gold directly levers prevailing gold prices.  The costs of producing this metal are largely fixed, mostly determined during mine-planning stages when engineers decide which gold-bearing ores to mine, how to dig to them, and how to process them.

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Silver-ETF Selling Mounting

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

Silver’s dazzling parabolic surge this summer was overwhelmingly driven by enormous silver-ETF-share buying.  Led by momentum-chasing millennial traders, unprecedentedly-huge amounts of stock-market capital deluged into the dominant SLV iShares Silver Trust silver ETF.  But since silver’s resulting lofty peak, silver-ETF-share selling has been mounting.  An acceleration is a major downside risk for silver prices.

Silver has certainly lived up to its wildly-volatile reputation this year.  Ahead of mid-March’s brutal stock panic driven by governments’ heavy-handed national lockdowns to slow the spread of COVID-19, silver was inconspicuously grinding higher.  In late February before pandemic fears flared in the US, silver was running $18.62.  But it was then soon sucked into the epic maelstrom of fear as stock markets cratered.

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Q2 Was Disastrous

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By Arkadiusz Sieroń – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The real US GDP plunged with a 31.4 percent annual rate in Q2 of 2020. In that regard, what’s next for the American economy and the gold market?

We all know that the second quarter was disastrous for the US economy. And now, it’s official. Last week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis published the third real GDP estimate in the Q2. According to the report, the real GDP decreased at an annual rate of 31.4 percent (slightly better than the second estimate of 31.7-percent plunge), or 9 percent more from the previous quarter and the second quarter of 2019, as the chart below shows. In other words, the US economy has suffered the sharpest contraction since the government started keeping records in 1947.

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Gold, The Generational Trade

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By Michael Kosares – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle
As we turn the calendar to October, often a daunting month for financial markets, the same toxic mix that has bedeviled the global economy for most of 2020 remains in full force – the pandemic, the crippled economy, the money printing, and the disheveled politics. For its part, gold held up under the pressure of a September consolidation that threatened at one point to become a full correction, but the selling dissipated, cautious buying re-entered the market and the price went back over the $1900 mark.

October always brings a sense of foreboding given its history, and we can only hope that the rest of the month will go significantly better than the start. Gold tends to move to the forefront when things go bump in the night, but then again, gold has been in the forefront for most of 2020 – prompting some analysts to proclaim the launch of a new leg in its long-term secular bull market.

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Q4 Forecast: Prevent Defense

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By Michael Ballanger – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

Before I wade into my Q4 strategy analysis, I have to tell you that prior to last Tuesday’s “debate”, I was leaning toward a “neutral” investment strategy largely based upon the 2016 outcome where heavily-favoured Hillary Clinton was upset by the Trump Train at the last hour and in direct opposition to what EVERY poll was predicting. I have a theory about the 2016 election and just exactly WHY the pollsters got it so completely wrong. I will explain.

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Silver-ETF Selling Mounting

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

Silver’s dazzling parabolic surge this summer was overwhelmingly driven by enormous silver-ETF-share buying.  Led by momentum-chasing millennial traders, unprecedentedly-huge amounts of stock-market capital deluged into the dominant SLV iShares Silver Trust silver ETF.  But since silver’s resulting lofty peak, silver-ETF-share selling has been mounting.  An acceleration is a major downside risk for silver prices.

Silver has certainly lived up to its wildly-volatile reputation this year.  Ahead of mid-March’s brutal stock panic driven by governments’ heavy-handed national lockdowns to slow the spread of COVID-19, silver was inconspicuously grinding higher.  In late February before pandemic fears flared in the US, silver was running $18.62.  But it was then soon sucked into the epic maelstrom of fear as stock markets cratered.

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Trump’s Covid Infection, Bailout Negotiations Raise Uncertainties

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By Mike Gleason – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Precious metals markets are advancing this week as a massive new stimulus bill makes its way through Congress.

On Thursday evening the House of Representatives passed a $2.2 trillion coronavirus relief bill on a party line vote.

It’s a big deal whenever Congress commits to spending that kind of cash, especially when it’s money that has to be borrowed into existence. These days, though, it’s not that unusual for Washington to dole out trillions of dollars at a time.

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The Emerging Evidence Of Hyperinflation

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By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Goldmoney

Note: all references to inflation are of the quantity of money and not to the effect on prices unless otherwise indicated.

In last week’s article I showed why empirical evidence of fiat money collapses are relevant to monetary conditions today. In this article I explain why the purchasing power of the dollar is hostage to foreign sellers, and that if the Fed continues with current monetary policies the dollar will follow the same fate as John Law’s livre in 1720. As always in these situations, there is little public understanding of money and the realisation that monetary policy is designed to tax people for the benefit of their government will come as an unpleasant shock. The speed at which state money then collapses in its utility will be swift. This article concentrates on the US dollar, central to other fiat currencies, and where the monetary and financial imbalances are greatest.

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The Sky Is Falling

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By GE Christenson – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

For the week ending September 25, 2020:

  • Gold (COMEX) was down $95 to $1,858.
  • Silver was down $4.03 to $23.09. Yikes!
  • The DOW was down 483 to 27,174.
  • Tesla stock was down $34 to $407. Its all-time high was $502.
  • John Mauldin expects $50 trillion in national debt by 2030.

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Gold-Stock Seasonal Plunge

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The gold miners’ stocks have just been hammered, plunging to new correction lows.  That shattered their indexes’ 50-day moving averages, pounding nails in the coffin of this sector’s recent high consolidation.  This necessary correction probably isn’t over yet.  It is still small and short compared to this bull market’s precedent, the gold stocks are nowhere near oversold, and they are heading into a seasonal-plunge month.

Seeing the gold stocks rolling over into a correction shouldn’t surprise anyone.  They enjoyed a great run, as evident in their leading and dominant sector benchmark the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  From mid-March’s pandemic stock-panic lows to early August, GDX rocketed 134.1% higher in just 4.8 months!  That powerful and fast upleg left gold stocks seriously overbought, necessitating a correction.

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Lessons On Inflation From The Past

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By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

This article examines two inflationary experiences in the past in an attempt to predict the likely outcome of today’s monetary policies. The German hyperinflation of 1923 demonstrated that it took surprisingly little monetary inflation to collapse the purchasing power of the paper mark. This is relevant to the fate of the “whatever it takes” inflationary policies of today’s governments and their central banks. The management of John Law’s Mississippi bubble, when he used paper money to rig the market is precisely what central bank policy is aimed at achieving today. By binding the fate of the currency to that of financial assets, as John Law proved, it is the currency that is destroyed.

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Real Royalty And Pretend Royalty

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By GE Christenson – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

GLOBAL ROYAL FAMILIES:

  • Royal families have ruled Great Britain for centuries. They control massive wealth and exercise considerable influence in global affairs.
  • The Dutch royal family is less visible.
  • King Donald and Queen Melania are influential, but not royals.
  • Prince William of Gates, Prince Jeffery of Amazonia, and Prince Elon of Teslovakia are new members of pretend royal families – “Tech Royalty.”
  • Queen Hillary and King William of Clintonia are pretend royalty, but we aren’t going there…
  • Other pretend royalty are Prince Barack and Princess Michelle from Obamanoya, and several Prince Georges from the Duchy of Bushington. Their days as pretend royalty are fading.

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Dark Years And Fourth Turning

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By Egon von Greyerz – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

In an ephemeral world, few things survive. I am not talking about species or human beings whose existence on earth is also transitory. Instead I am referring to social and financial systems which are now coming to an end.

In July 2009 I wrote an article called The Dark Years Are Here. It was reprinted again in September 2018.

Here is an extract from my original article:

“The Dark Years will be extremely severe for most countries both financially and socially. In many countries in the Western world there will be a severe depression and it will be the end of the welfare state. Most private and state pension schemes are also likely to collapse. It will be a worldwide depression but some countries may only have a deep recession. There will be famine, homelessness and misery resulting in social as well as political unrest. Different type of government leaders and regimes are likely to result from this.
How long will the Dark Years last? There is a book called ”The Fourth Turning” written by Neil Howe.

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Silver Bulls Will Be Rewarded Handsomely

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By Peter Krauth – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

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Gold Overboughtness Risk

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Gold has been consolidating high since early August, when it rocketed parabolic on colossal gold-ETF demand. That 6-week-old sideways drift has worked off some greed and overboughtness, but plenty still remains. So gold isn’t out of the woods yet for this essential sentiment-rebalancing selloff. With residual overboughtness still extreme, gold faces considerable downside risk heading into its biggest seasonal selloff.

Across the financial markets, absolute price levels usually don’t matter much in technical and sentimental terms. Though they are important fundamentally. Supply and demand always converge to drive prices to sustainable levels, and over time traders come to accept them as normal. But how fast prices surged or plunged to current prevailing levels is exceedingly important, greatly affecting their short-term staying power.

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What’s The Price Of Gold? It Depends.

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By Keith Weiner – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

When someone asks what the price of gold is, the answer depends on which gold market he means.

In most cases, the different gold markets are close enough that the minor differences are insignificant. TV news anchors just want to know if the price is in a major trend, up or down (up). Old Uncle Ernie could be reminiscing about the bull market of the 1970s and comparing the price back then to the price today (spoiler: it’s higher today).

The Three Gold Markets

But if you’re studying gold, you may be curious about the differences between the three markets:

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Slow Recovery From Virus Unlikely To impede Strong Demand For Metals

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By Rick Mills – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Daily coronavirus cases may be down in the United States, but that is no reason to be complacent, especially given that cold and flu season is only a few weeks away, says the nation’s top doctor.

In a roundtable discussion Thursday at Harvard Medical School, Dr. Anthony Fauci warned that “we need to hunker down and get through this fall and winter, because it’s not going to be easy.” He compared the pandemic to the early days of HIV in terms of how quickly it escalated, and how it might continue to escalate, if current trends of low mask-wearing and social distancing continue. “We’ve been through this before,” he said. “Don’t ever, ever underestimate the potential of the pandemic. And don’t try and look at the rosy side of things.”

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The Next Bubble Will Be In Gold

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By AG Thorson – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Asset bubbles are a repeating theme. In 2017, bitcoin entered a bubble driving prices from $1000 to $19,000. The recent Bubble in Tesla marked a rally from $70 (post-split price) to over $500 in less than 6-months. Our work supports a bubble in gold and precious metals later this decade. This article will explore the various aspects of a bubble and how one could prepare.

Below are the three ingredients often associated with bubbles.

gold bubble

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Big Gold-ETF Buying MIA

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The big gold-ETF buying that catapulted gold higher into early August has gone missing in action.  That’s why gold stalled out since, drifting sideways flirting with a correction.  To continue powering higher, gold needs these major stock-market-capital inflows via exchange-traded funds to resume.  The near-term fortunes for the precious-metals complex are heavily dependent on how American traders position in gold ETFs.

For better or worse, exchange-traded funds are increasingly dominating gold’s price trends.  Their relative importance has been mounting for years, and cannot be overstated.  Major gold ETFs are becoming the global gold market.  Despite lingering concerns about gold ETFs’ physical bullion holdings, speculators and investors keep flocking to them.  They are the easiest way to get gold portfolio exposure, quick and cheap.

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US Share Plunge

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By Arkadiusz Sieroń – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The U.S. stock market plunged last week. Will gold follow suit?

Last week, the U.S. stock market has seen strong selling activity. The S&P 500 Index has declined about 7 percent from its peak, while the Nasdaq Composite Index plunged more than 10 percent (entering a correction territory), below 11,000, as the chart below shows. It was the tech sector’s worst drop since the end of March, if not the quickest correction ever.

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Inflation, Deflation And Other Fallacies

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By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

There can be little doubt that macroeconomic policies are failing around the world. The fallacies being exposed are so entrenched that there are bound to be twists and turns yet to come.

This article explains the fallacies behind inflation, deflation, economic performance and interest rates. They arise from the modern states’ overriding determination to access the wealth of its electorate instead of being driven by a genuine and considered concern for its welfare. Monetary inflation, which has become runaway, transfers wealth to the state from producers and consumers, and is about to accelerate. Everything about macroeconomics is now with that single economically destructive objective in mind.

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Arrival Of The Epocalypse And The 2020 Stock Market Meltdowns

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By David Haggith – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

I just finished with one of my readers, Bob Unger, and I thought Bob’s questions led to a well-rounded expression of how, over the past two years, our economy got to the collapse we are in now, how predictable the Federal Reserve’s policy changes and failures were, why economic recovery has stalled, and why the stock market was certain to crash twice this year, including why the second crash would likely hit around September.

I’ve found Bob’s interviews with others interesting, so I recommend checking out his YouTube page. I had no idea where the interview below would go, but it wound up encapsulating my main themes for the past two years:

MarketWatch

(Other interviews I’ve done are linked in the right side bar where I usually just let people stumble onto them on their own.)

CONTINUE READING –>

Inflation By Fiat

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By Michael Pento – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

The Fed has now officially changed its inflation target from 2%, to one that averages above 2% in order to compensate for the years where inflation was below its target. First off, the Fed has a horrific track record with meeting its first and primary mandate of stable prices. Then, in the wake of the Great Recession, it redefined stable prices as 2% inflation—even though that means the dollar’s purchasing power gets cut in half in 36 years. Now, following his latest Jackson Hole speech, Chair Powell has adopted a new definition of stable prices; one where its new mandate will be to bring inflation above 2% with the same degree and duration in which it has fallen short of its 2% target.

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China Unloads Dollars As Gold Price Tests Support

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By Stefan Gleason – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Since posting new record highs in early August, the gold market has consolidated above $1,900/oz support.

A close below the $1,900 level would carry bearish implications for the near term.

Alternatively, a move back above $2,000/oz would likely be followed through to the upside with a rally to fresh highs. Silver, in turn, could be expected to run to new multi-year highs above $30/oz.

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Gold-Stock Correction Mode

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By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The gold miners’ stocks are mired in correction mode, which isn’t surprising after their mighty post-stock-panic upleg. Huge buying catapulting them higher left this sector extremely overbought. Corrections are normal and healthy after prices get too stretched technically. They eradicate upleg toppings’ excessive greed, rebalancing sentiment. That paves the way for bulls’ next uplegs, and offers great buying opportunities.

The most-popular gold-stock benchmark today is the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF. It includes the world’s biggest and best gold miners, dwarfing its peers in size. Launched way back in May 2006, GDX’s first-mover advantage has grown insurmountable. This ETF’s $17.9b in net assets this week are running 31.4x larger than its next biggest competitor’s in the 1x-long major-gold-miners-ETF space. GDX is king.

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Inflation — Running Out Of Road

usissuescom GDP & Employment, Monetary Policy , , , , , , , ,
By Alasdair Macleod – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

If you think that price inflation runs at about 1.6% you have fallen for the BLS’s CPI myth. Two independent analysts using different methods — the Chapwood Index and Shadowstats.com — prove that prices are rising at a far faster rate, more like 10% annually and have been doing so since 2010.

This article discusses the consequences of price inflation suppression, particularly in the light of Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech when he downgraded the importance of price inflation in the Fed’s policy objectives in favour of targeting employment.

It concludes that the reconciliation between the BLS CPI figure and the true rate of price inflation is inevitable and will be catastrophic for the Fed’s policy of suppressing interest rates, its maximisation of the “wealth effect” of inflated financial asset prices, and for the dollar itself.

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Stock Market’s Caged Bear About To Rattle Himself Loose!

usissuescom Monetary Policy, Stocks & Commodities , , , , , ,
By David Haggith – Re-Blogged From Silver Phoenix

I’ve been saying the stock market will take a turn for the worst sometime between mid-August and October. Numerous market metrics now show a market that looks ready to turn over. The bear may soon be back in charge.

The futility of trying to stop the stampeding herd and the Fed fallacy

When I pointed out last January that the market was more perilously overpriced than ever and imminently ready to crash, the stock market took one of its most spectacular dives in history just a month later. (See: “Stock Market More Overpriced and Perilous Than Anytime in History.”)

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Inflation Is Coming

usissuescom Monetary Policy, Stocks & Commodities , , , , ,
By Egon von Greyerz – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

The buzz word of Central Bank Chiefs at Jackson Hole was INFLATION: “The Fed to tolerate higher inflation” says Powell, “ECB to inject more monetary stimulus to ensure inflation” says ECB Chief Economist, “Bank of England has ample fire power to support UK economy…… and not tighten monetary policy until inflation returns“ says Governor of BoE.

So here we have the Chiefs of three of the mightiest central banks in the world speaking with one voice and telling the world that the solution to the world’s financial woes is inflation. Kuroda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan would have said the same since they have been trying to get inflation above one percent for almost 30 years.

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Pension Funds Start Looking to Gold to Avert Disaster

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By Stefan Gleason – Re-Blogged From Headline Wealth

Public and private pension plans face a dual crisis.

The first and most obvious threat to pensioners is that defined-benefit vehicles are severely underfunded. By one estimate, pension systems taken as a whole are $638 billion in the red.

Some are in better shape financially than others. But all pension plans will have to reckon with a second huge challenge going forward.

Namely, they are already entirely unable to meet their stated return objectives by owning conventional “safe” interest-bearing instruments such as Treasury bonds.

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How Will the Election Impact the Bullion Market?

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By Clint Siegner – Re-Blogged From Money Metals Exchange

Bullion investors took a breather when Donald Trump was elected in 2016. Demand for coins, rounds, and bars fell significantly on the day after election day and stayed down for the next 3 years.

After 8 years of Barack Obama, ultra-loose fed policy and a historic run-up in the national debt, investors felt things would get better under Trump.

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Fed Chairman Powell Is Vowing to Wreck the Currency

usissuescom Monetary Policy, Stocks & Commodities , , , , , ,
By Mike Gleason – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

As the Federal Reserve embarks on a new campaign to raise inflation rates, markets may be in for a change in character.

On Wednesday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced that the central bank would be targeting an inflation “average” of 2%. By the Fed’s measures, inflation has been running below 2% in recent years. So, getting to a 2% average in the years ahead will require above 2% inflation for a significant period.

Here’s Powell attempting to explain himself from central bankers’ virtual Jackson Hole conference:

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The Federal Reserve vs. Judy Shelton And Gold

usissuescom Monetary Policy , , ,
By Kelsey Williams – Re-Blogged From Gold Eagle

Those in favor of Judy Shelton’s approval by Congress, pursuant to her nomination to the Federal Reserve Board Of Governors, should not be surprised by the torrent of criticism directed at her.

A letter published and signed by former Federal Reserve officials and staffers called on the Senate to reject her nomination, stating that “Ms. Shelton’s views are so extreme and ill-considered as to be an unnecessary distraction from the tasks at hand…”

Her “extreme” views were referred to in a general statement of condemnation:

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