Fed Will Cause a 2008 Redux

By Michael Pento – Re-Blogged From http://www.PentoPort.com

Truth is a rare commodity on Wall Street. You have to sift through tons of dirt to find the golden ore. For example, main stream analysis of the Fed’s current monetary policy claims that it will be able to normalize interest rates with impunity. That assertion could not be further from the truth.

The fact is the Fed has been tightening monetary policy since December of 2013, when it began to taper the asset purchase program known as Quantitative Easing. This is because the flow of bond purchases is much more important than the stock of assets held on the Fed’s balance sheet. The Fed Chairman at the time, Ben Bernanke, started to reduce the amount of bond purchases by $10 billion per month; taking the amount of QE from $85 billion, to 0 by the end of October 2014.

The end of QE meant the Fed would no longer be pushing up MBS and Treasury bond prices (sending yields lower) with its $85 billion per month worth of bids. And that the primary dealers would no longer be flooded with new money supply in the form of excess bank reserves. In other words, the Fed started the economy down the slow path towards deflation.

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The Next Crisis Is The Mother Of All Counter-Party Risks (Part 2)

[This is a long article – part valuable information and part rant. -Bob]

By Gijsbert Groenewegen – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

In Part I I explained the counter-party risk that is all around us – and will come to the fore in the next financial crisis. In this second part I reflect on the rescue operations of the Fed following the 2008/2009 recession and the following QEs and ZIRP policies that have led to diminishing returns and that will ultimately weaken the US dollar: the biggest counter-party risk of all counter-party risks.

Addendum 8 – CDS, Credit Default Swaps. Ultimately it should be considered that when we encounter these systemic events that it will impact the underlying currency.  For example when the pension underfunding gets so problematic that the Government has to print more money to meet and rescue the obligations the counter-party risk will be reflected in the devaluation of the currency or the loss of purchasing power, the goods that you can buy with the same amount of nominal money will tumble.

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Gold-Stock-Bull Upside Targets

By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

The get-no-respect gold-stock sector is in a strong young bull market. Past gold-stock bulls have grown to utterly-massive proportions before giving up their ghosts, greatly multiplying the wealth of contrarian investors and speculators. Today’s gold-stock bull is very likely to grow vastly larger before fully running its course. Fundamental gold-stock-bull upside targets reveal the lion’s share of gains are still yet to come.

A little over a year ago in January 2016, a monstrous gold-stock bear finally climaxed. The gold miners’ stocks fell to fundamentally-absurd 13.5-year secular lows as measured by their leading index, the HUI NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index. Out of those dark depths of despair, a new gold-stock bull was stealthily born. And it soon started flexing its muscle, rocketing 182.2% higher in just 6.5 months by early August!

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Catalyst For Chaos

By Michael Pento – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

Up until very recently, stocks had been humming along without so much as a minor speedbump and volatility was becoming a distant memory. However, it now seems prudent to once again remind investors that this extremely overvalued market is headed for an epic crash. The Cassandras, myself included, have been wrong about this warning for what seems like a long time. Nevertheless, much like those who warned of a housing bubble a few years before the bottom completely fell out, reality is destined to slam into the current triumvirate of asset bubbles, and those sounding the alarm will be proven correct again.

The governments’ massive interest rate manipulation and record amount of new debt accumulation have engendered unprecedented equity, real estate and fixed income bubbles across the globe.

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Gold Stocks’ Strong New Upleg

By Adam Hamilton – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

Gold stocks are on fire this year, powering higher in market-dominating performance.  This is a massive reversal from their dark fourth quarter, with 6/7ths of those losses already erased.  But this strong new upleg still remains young and small by historical standards.  Gold stocks’ recent rally is only the vanguard of another major bull-market upleg.  This sector’s bullish technicals reveal vast upside potential from here.

The gold miners are a small contrarian stock-market sector that isn’t widely followed.  Hearing about how the gold stocks are faring in the mainstream financial media is pretty rare.  So this sector generally flies under the radars of the great majority of speculators and investors.  That’s rather unfortunate, because the gold stocks have enjoyed some of the greatest gains in all the stock markets in this young century.

The flagship gold-stock index is the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index, which trades under the symbol HUI.  BUGS stands for Basket of Unhedged Gold Stocks, as major gold miners can’t be included in the HUI unless their gold production is not hedged beyond 1.5 years.  Running all the way back to June 1996, and having no management fees like ETFs, the HUI offers the definitive read on gold-stock performance.

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When Did The Fed Start Buying Equities?

By Gordon Long – Re-Blogged From http://www.Gold-Eagle.com

We see the forensic “finger prints” all over the economic and financial data that the Federal Reserve through a proxy likely Citadel Capital (or the Fed’s CBOE Volume Options Agreement) has highly likely been buying the US equity market since its QE 3 “TAPER” ended in October 2014.  We do know for a fact that the BOJ, SNB, PBOCNorwegian and other central banks have been doing this as matter of normal monetary policy for some time and that 80% of all these central banks said they plan on buying more stocks this year with a significant amount of that buying in US exchange traded equities.   To see the forensic economic evidence more clearly, consider the following US indicators:

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2017’s Real Milestone (Or Why Interest Rates Can Never Go Back To Normal)

By John Rubino – Re-Blogged From Dollar Collapse

Forget about NAFTA or OPEC or TPP or crowd size or hand size or any other acronym or stat or concept that obsesses the financial press these days. Only two numbers actually matter.

The first is $20 trillion, which is the level the US federal debt will exceed sometime around June of this year. Here’s the current total as measured by the US Debt Clock:

To put $20 trillion into perspective, it’s about $160,000 per US taxpayer, and exists in addition to the mortgage, credit card, auto, and student debt that our hypothetical taxpayer probably carries. It is in short, way too much for the average wage slave to manage without some kind of existential crisis.

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